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History as Science: How Complexity Thinking Is Transforming Foresight
Complexity science is reshaping how we explore the future. Peter Turchin’s cliodynamics reveals patterns in history, showing how complexity thinking can enrich foresight—not through perfect prediction, but through deeper understanding and informed action.
Oct 296 min read
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Universal Principles of Evolutionary Change
This deck explores universal patterns in evolutionary systems, revealing how they shape change and enhance complexity across domains.
Sep 23, 20241 min read
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Power Laws as a Pattern of Change
Understanding how change unfolds in complex systems is crucial for effective foresight and scenario planning.
Jul 11, 20241 min read
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Managing Risk: A Guide for Contractors
Thinking about risk is essential since it impacts how we price our services, which jobs we accept or reject, and how we plan for our future.
Apr 17, 20241 min read
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Collapse: Learning from Past Failures
Collapse is characterised by the progression of problems caused by human error.
Nov 28, 202314 min read
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